March 17, 2018

Texas Democrats Gain Momentum But Lone Star Still Deep Red

09 March 2018, 02:30 | Rufus Hill

Cruz releases country jingle deriding O'Rourke

Lawsuit against California mirrors Arizona immigration fight

BREAKING: Democratic primary race for Texas HD-64 is headed to a runoff, as no candidate got a majority of votes.

Democratic voters showed up in force in Texas on Tuesday for the nation's first primary of the year, providing fresh evidence that liberal enthusiasm could reshape even deeply Republican states come November.

While a strong candidate who gives good speeches, his previous anti-abortion votes have sprung to the surface again, and for many Democrats that issue is the bright yellow line that overshadows every other issue ... at the primary election level.

Energized and angry Democrats in Texas, where the GOP has dominated for decades, came out in force to surpass 1 million voters Tuesday - the first time the party has eclipsed that benchmark in a midterm primary since 2002, just months after the September 11 attacks.

National Review's Jack Crowe reports, "Democrats, who ran candidates in all 36 congressional districts for the first time ever, are particularly hopeful they can capture the seventh congressional district in Houston, the 23rd district outside San Antonio and 32nd district in Dallas, all of which Hillary Clinton won in 2016".

Democrats need to gain 24 seats nationwide to retake the US House of Representatives, a feat that would allow the party to block the Republican president's legislative agenda.

In addition, two Hispanic women Democrats - former El Paso County Judge Veronica Escobar and state Sen.

As Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, warned at a recent gathering of Republicans, many Democrats would "crawl over broken glass" to cast a ballot this year.

An increase in the number of Democratic voters who early voted and turned out to the polls Tuesday is being watched closely by both parties. "It just stuck", O'Rourke said in a brief phone interview Tuesday night. Abbott received over 90 percent of the primary votes, but last night was not a total victory for the Governor.

Cruz, in his bid to win a second six-year term in Washington, enjoys near universal name recognition in Texas and he has access to millions of dollars in super PAC money and the backing of President Donald Trump and the Republican establishment.

What does turnout typically look like for primary runoff elections?

But the special election to replace Murphy is now competitive - polls show Democrat Conor Lamb within striking distance of Republican Rick Saccone.

Favourability ratings for Trump, a Republican, hover near 40 percent, nationally.

Republicans have lost elections in other conservative states where Trump is unpopular. And still, GOP turnout is 15 percent higher than it was even in 2014.

"I think the biggest reason for optimism is the wave of young people we've seen speaking out lately, from all across the political spectrum", Price said. Texas hasn't sent a new congresswoman of any ethnicity to Washington in 22 years.

The results are in and with 90 percent of the vote, incumbent Governor Greg Abbott will be the Republican nominee for the top seat in Texas.

The national party's intervention has only brought more energy and attention to Moser's candidacy; she is set to face Houston lawyer Lizzie Pannill Fletcher in the May runoff.

Eight months before the midterm election, Democrats now have an 8.9 percent generic congressional ballot advantage nationally in the Real Clear Politics average of polls. (The five percent gerrymandered advantage still applies).

Equally striking was the showing by women on the ballot: Of the almost 50 women running for Congress in Texas, more than half won their primaries outright or advanced to runoffs. Democrats are hoping to seize on enthusiasm among their key constituencies to win control of the House, while Republicans are trying to hold onto power despite a possible Trump backlash.

In Lamb, Democrats seem to have a dream candidate.

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