April 24, 2018

Atlantic hurricane season will be slightly above-average, researchers say

06 April 2018, 01:49 | Rufus Hill

The 2018 Hurricane Season Could Be As Eventful As 2017, According To Forecasters

Watch out Florida: Forecast predicts active 2018 hurricane season

A cooling of ocean waters over the next several months should lead to a slightly above-average Atlantic hurricane season this year, meteorologists predicted Thursday.

For those still grappling with the devastation of hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria past year, the 2018 hurricane season may not offer a reprieve.

Colorado State University forecasters Philip Klotzbach and Michael Bell expect 14 named tropical storms during the 2018 season - seven that will likely become hurricanes.

This season could exhibit similar patterns as 1960, 1967, 1996, 2006 and 2011, according to their report. For some perspective, a typical hurricane season usually has 12 named storms, 6.5 hurricanes and two major storms.

Hurricane season officially begins on June 1.

Klotzbach said in the wake of last year's disastrous hurricane season, which cost the USA economy an estimated $300 billion, energy industry players are seeking to harden their infrastructure to mitigate the potential damage from a repeat performance of last year's storm season.

For the upcoming hurricane season, the CSU report found that there is a 39% chance for a major hurricane to hit the US East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, compared with an average 31% chance for the last century.

CSU hurricane researchers believe this season's activity will be about 135 percent of the average season.

"That's one of the big questions that we have going forward is what El NiƱo is going to do". The Pacific Ocean may not give us too many predictive clues about the Atlantic hurricane season.

While hurricanes thrive on hot ocean water, the eastern Atlantic is cool, and the western part of the basin is warm.

By summer, forecasters should have a better indication of how much wind shear to expect and whether the entire Atlantic is heating up.

Of course, that would also mean intense storms elsewhere and potentially droughts, so it's not exactly a win, regardless.

"No one could say in early August a year ago we were going to witness the apocalypse", Klotzbach said.

Other News

Trending Now

United Nations chief leads drive for aid pledges for war-battered Yemen
Guterres called for Yemen's ports to be kept open to humanitarian and commercial cargo, especially food, medicines and fuel. The United Nations said that blockade raised the danger of mass starvation, and it was partially lifted.

Dalit protests intensify across country during 'Bharat Bandh', 4 killed
Last week a young Dalit farmer in Gujarat was beaten to death for owning a horse, which is seen as a symbol of power and wealth. In the central state of Madhya Pradesh, senior police officials told BBC Hindi that six people had died.

Sensex rises 570 pts, Nifty above 10300 as RBI holds policy rates
The rally extended to the broader markets as well, lifting the mid-cap index by 1.88 per cent and small-cap 1.87 per cent. Global markets were strong in trade as recent investor worries over an elevation in US-China trade tensions abated.

Jeremy Corbyn Facebook account deleted as anti-Semitism row escalates
In 2012, Mr Corbyn posted a Facebook message backing the creator of a mural that included a number of anti-Jewish stereotypes. Shadow chancellor John McDonnell had asked the former Labour peer to take the offending tweet down.

Chinese space lab crashes in Pacific ocean
Soon after the Soviet Union launched Sputnik in 1957, Chairman Mao Zedong pronounced, "We too will make satellites". For months, experts had been trying to predict where and when the lab would come back down to Earth.

Chinese Space Lab Finally Plummets Back To Earth
Tiangong-1, which means "Heavenly Palace", was China's first space laboratory. The orbit of the Space Station declined over the course of next two years.

Pats deal WR Cooks to Rams
Cooks was a productive player in his one season with the Pats and seems headed to a fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season. Brandin Cooks spent all of one season in New England before the Patriots chose to move on from the speedy wide receiver.

French rail unions take on Macron with mass rolling strikes
They are protesting a government plan to prepare SNCF before the service is opened to competition and to end some worker benefits. No trains are expected to be operating between France and Italy, Spain and Switzerland, the railway company said .

Trump calls Sinclair superior to CNN
Sinclair, which has a history of supporting conservative candidates, as a company has similar political views to those of Trump. If the deal is approved, Sinclair would own at least 220 stations, and reach more than 70 percent of US households.

UK Jewish Groups Chide Labour's Corbyn for Failing to Snuff Out anti-Semitism
However he needs to "clearly disassociate himself from those who continue to preach anti-Semitism", she said. It pains me to have to stand before you and have to say that today'.